

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 15.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.62%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon | 
| 15.85% (  0.03) | 21.49% (  -0) | 62.66% (  -0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 48.62% (  0.06) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.15% (  0.05) | 47.85% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.97% (  0.05) | 70.03% (  -0.05) | 
| Casa Pia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.98% (  0.07) | 43.02% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.69% (  0.06) | 79.31% (  -0.06) | 
| Sporting Lisbon Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.32% (  0.01) | 14.67% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.16% (  0.02) | 42.84% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Casa Pia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon | 
| 1-0 @ 5.33% (  -0) 2-1 @ 4.31% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 2.25% (  0) 3-1 @ 1.21% (  0) 3-2 @ 1.16% (  0.01) Other @ 1.59% Total : 15.85% | 1-1 @ 10.21% 0-0 @ 6.31% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.14% (  0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.48% | 0-1 @ 12.11% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.62% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.81% (  0) 0-3 @ 7.44% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.27% (  0) 0-4 @ 3.57% (  -0) 1-4 @ 3.01% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.65% (  0.01) 0-5 @ 1.37% (  -0) 2-4 @ 1.27% (  0) 1-5 @ 1.16% (  0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 62.65% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 
| 3 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 
| 4 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 
| 8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 
| 10 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | 
| 12 | PortimonensePortimonense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 8 | 
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 | 
| 15 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 | 
| 16 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | 
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 4 | 
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