Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 82.99%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 5.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.06%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.5%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Maritimo |
82.99% (![]() | 11.58% (![]() | 5.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.13% (![]() | 32.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.43% (![]() | 54.57% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.18% (![]() | 5.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.62% (![]() | 22.38% (![]() |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.91% (![]() | 54.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.67% (![]() | 87.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Maritimo |
2-0 @ 12.73% (![]() 3-0 @ 12.06% 1-0 @ 8.95% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.58% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.42% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 82.98% | 1-1 @ 5.5% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.4% Other @ 0.52% Total : 11.58% | 0-1 @ 1.94% (![]() 1-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 1.81% Total : 5.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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