Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
41.74% (![]() | 25.81% (![]() | 32.44% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.97% (![]() | 50.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% (![]() | 72% (![]() |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.24% (![]() | 23.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.09% (![]() | 57.9% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% (![]() | 29.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% (![]() | 64.96% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.92% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.53% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |