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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca
Guimaraes
0 - 2
Arouca

Silva (27'), Bamba (80'), Amaro (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mujica (50'), Antony (77')
Nunes (36'), Galovic (45'), De Arruabarrena (90+7')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Arouca
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca

Vitoria have won five in six, which is expected to become six in seven, with their impressive sequence of wins facing an Arouca side that struggles on their travels, claiming just two wins on the road all season. Without a triumph on their travels since November 5, their five-game away run without a win should extend to six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawArouca
49.47% (-0.13699999999999 -0.14) 26.2% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 24.33% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.67% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.16% (0.027999999999999 0.03)55.84% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.04% (0.023 0.02)76.96% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)22.63% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (-0.073 -0.07)56.25% (0.07 0.07)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (0.121 0.12)38.39% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.86% (0.119 0.12)75.14% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.46%
    Arouca 24.33%
    Draw 26.19%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawArouca
1-0 @ 12.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 49.46%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 24.33%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Arouca

Vitoria de Guimaraes
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Arouca
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3.30pm
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Bukia (33'), Quaresma (70')
Silva (57'), Lameiras (90+12' pen.)
Amaro (31')
Feb 19, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
1-3
Arouca
Estupinan (26')
Luz (67'), Quaresma (80'), Janvier (86'), Fernandes (88')
Basso (13'), Antony (35'), Bukia (41')
Kouassi (27'), Galovic (48'), Simao (70'), Silva (89')
Sep 18, 2021 8.30pm
Arouca
2-2
Guimaraes
Dabbagh (75'), Pite (90+4')
Bento Oleques (54')
Quaresma (7'), Silva (72')
Fernandes (23'), Quaresma (37')
May 7, 2017 6pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Arouca
Marega (76')
Gaspar (42')

Jubal (15'), Costa de Brito (68')
Dec 23, 2016 9pm
Arouca
0-1
Guimaraes

Santos (36'), Bastos (87')
Hernani (80')
Sa (38'), Raphinha (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17141240172343
2Benfica17133135112442
3Porto17122325121338
4Braga17103440251533
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes169342618830
6MoreirenseMoreirense178542418629
7FamalicaoFamalicao175751720-322
8SC FarenseFarense176382323021
9BoavistaBoavista175572631-520
10Casa Pia175481823-519
11Estrela Amadora174671824-618
12PortimonensePortimonense175391836-1818
13Estoril PraiaEstoril1752103132-117
14AroucaArouca164482223-116
15Gil Vicente174492731-416
16Rio AveRio Ave173681928-915
17Vizela172781627-1113
18ChavesChaves1732121844-2611

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