

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 31.34% ( | 28.92% ( | 39.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.98% ( | 62.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.25% ( | 81.75% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.98% ( | 36.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.2% ( | 72.8% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( | 30.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.31% ( | 66.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 11.2% ( 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 3-2 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.34% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.04% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.91% | 0-1 @ 13.04% ( 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.38% Total : 39.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Porto | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | BoavistaBoavista | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | SC FarenseFarense | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Vizela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | ChavesChaves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
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