Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.33%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.