

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 29.66% ( | 26.96% ( | 43.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.4% ( | 55.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.24% ( | 76.76% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( | 33.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.48% ( | 70.52% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( | 25.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.77% ( | 60.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 3-1 @ 2.5% ( 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0-4 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 31 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 72 | 17 | 55 | 80 |
| 2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 67 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | Vizela | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 56 | -33 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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