Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
| 42.62% ( | 27.67% ( | 29.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.82% ( | 58.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.16% ( | 78.83% ( |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( | 27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.64% ( | 62.35% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.81% ( | 35.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.06% ( | 71.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% ( 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 4-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-2 @ 4.44% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 16 | 52 | 71 |
| 2 | Porto | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 18 | 40 | 64 |
| 3 | Braga | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 59 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 54 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 41 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 41 |
| 7 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 33 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 33 |
| 12 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 19 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 15 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
