Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista | 
| 66.44% | 19.67% | 13.89% | 
| Both teams to score 49.67% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.08% | 43.92% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.7% | 66.31% | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.68% | 12.32% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.87% | 38.13% | 
| Boavista Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.65% | 43.35% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.42% | 79.58% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista | 
| 2-0 @ 11.7% 1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 6.83% 4-0 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.86% 5-0 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.26% Total : 66.42% | 1-1 @ 9.35% 0-0 @ 5.34% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.89% Total : 19.67% | 0-1 @ 4.47% 1-2 @ 3.91% 0-2 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.14% 1-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.42% Total : 13.89% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 16 | 52 | 71 | 
| 2 | Porto | 27 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 58 | 18 | 40 | 64 | 
| 3 | Braga | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 59 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 54 | 
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 41 | 
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 41 | 
| 7 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 | 
| 9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 33 | 
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 33 | 
| 12 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 | 
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 | 
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 26 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 19 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 | 
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 15 | 
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