Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Porto
2 - 1
Guimaraes
We said: Porto 3-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto will be looking to restore some pride after their Champions League defeat at the hands of Liverpool last time out. They have been solid at both ends of the pitch so far and we predict they will continue to edge out the visitors and come out on top once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 11.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 70.43% | 18.16% | 11.41% |
| Both teams to score 47.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
