Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
