Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 45.24%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 26.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
45.24% | 28.33% | 26.43% |
Both teams to score 43.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.17% | 61.83% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.39% | 81.61% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% | 27.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.21% | 62.79% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.12% | 39.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.46% | 76.53% |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 14.13% 2-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 8.43% 3-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.76% Total : 45.24% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 5.98% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.39% Total : 26.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 14 | 52 | 68 |
2 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 |
3 | Braga | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 56 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 33 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 32 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 30 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 29 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
16 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
17 | Maritimo | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 47 | -30 | 16 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 15 |
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