Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
