Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 59.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Ham United in this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Southampton | 
| 59.79% | 22.64% | 17.57% | 
| Both teams to score 48.62% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.3% | 49.7% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.29% | 71.71% | 
| West Ham United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.76% | 16.24% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.24% | 45.76% | 
| Southampton Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 58.05% | 41.95% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.61% | 78.39% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| West Ham United | Draw | Southampton | 
| 1-0 @ 12.38% 2-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 5.92% 4-0 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2% Total : 59.78%  | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.63%  | 0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.82% Total : 17.57%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 | 
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 | 
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 | 
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 | 
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 | 
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 | 
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 | 
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 | 
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 | 
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 | 
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 | 
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 | 
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 | 
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 | 
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 | 
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 | 
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