Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Boavista |
41.17% (![]() | 26.84% (![]() | 31.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.64% (![]() | 54.36% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.26% (![]() | 75.74% (![]() |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% (![]() | 26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% (![]() | 61.03% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% (![]() | 31.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.06% (![]() | 67.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 11.04% 2-1 @ 8.59% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.25% Total : 41.16% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.95% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 9.46% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.36% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
2 | Porto | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 64 | 19 | 45 | 76 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 48 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Vizela | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 40 |
10 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 10 | 4 | 18 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
16 | Maritimo | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 23 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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