

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.83%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 6.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.31%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista | 
| 80.83% (  0.31) | 12.65% (  -0.19) | 6.52% (  -0.12) | 
| Both teams to score 45.91% (  0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 66.71% (  0.41) | 33.29% (  -0.42) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 44.94% (  0.47) | 55.05% (  -0.47) | 
| Benfica Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 93.68% (  0.14) | 6.32% (  -0.15) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 76.24% (  0.4) | 23.76% (  -0.4) | 
| Boavista Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 49.01% (  -0.06) | 50.99% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.67% (  -0.04) | 85.33% (  0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista | 
| 2-0 @ 12.28% (  -0.06) 3-0 @ 11.31% (  0.04) 1-0 @ 8.89% (  -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.27% (  -0.06) 4-0 @ 7.81% (  0.09) 3-1 @ 7.62% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 5.26% (  0.05) 5-0 @ 4.32% (  0.08) 5-1 @ 2.91% (  0.05) 3-2 @ 2.57% 6-0 @ 1.99% (  0.06) 4-2 @ 1.77% (  0.02) 6-1 @ 1.34% (  0.04) 5-2 @ 0.98% (  0.02) Other @ 3.51% Total : 80.83% | 1-1 @ 5.99% (  -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.22% (  -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.79% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.65% | 0-1 @ 2.17% (  -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.02% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.34% Total : 6.52% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 
| 2 | Casa Pia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 
| 3 | Rio AveRio Ave | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 
| 4 | AroucaArouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 
| 5 | BoavistaBoavista | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 
| 6 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 8 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 
| 9 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 
| 10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 | 
| 11 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 
| 12 | Vizela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 
| 13 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 
| 14 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 
| 16 | ChavesChaves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 
| 18 | PortimonensePortimonense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | 
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