Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.83%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 6.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.31%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
80.83% (![]() | 12.65% (![]() | 6.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.71% (![]() | 33.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.94% (![]() | 55.05% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.68% (![]() | 6.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.24% (![]() | 23.76% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.01% (![]() | 50.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.67% (![]() | 85.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
2-0 @ 12.28% (![]() 3-0 @ 11.31% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.89% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.27% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.81% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.57% 6-0 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.51% Total : 80.83% | 1-1 @ 5.99% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.65% | 0-1 @ 2.17% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.34% Total : 6.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
2 | Casa Pia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Rio AveRio Ave | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | AroucaArouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
5 | BoavistaBoavista | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
12 | Vizela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
13 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
16 | ChavesChaves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | PortimonensePortimonense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |