

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.83%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 6.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.31%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
| 80.83% ( | 12.65% ( | 6.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.71% ( | 33.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.94% ( | 55.05% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.68% ( | 6.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 76.24% ( | 23.76% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.01% ( | 50.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.67% ( | 85.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
| 2-0 @ 12.28% ( 3-0 @ 11.31% ( 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 4-0 @ 7.81% ( 3-1 @ 7.62% ( 4-1 @ 5.26% ( 5-0 @ 4.32% ( 5-1 @ 2.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% 6-0 @ 1.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 6-1 @ 1.34% ( 5-2 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.51% Total : 80.83% | 1-1 @ 5.99% ( 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 2-2 @ 2.79% ( Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.65% | 0-1 @ 2.17% ( 1-2 @ 2.02% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 6.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Casa Pia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rio AveRio Ave | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | AroucaArouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | BoavistaBoavista | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Vizela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | ChavesChaves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | PortimonensePortimonense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
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