

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 16.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Boavista |
| 62.18% ( | 21.74% | 16.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% ( | 48.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.38% ( | 70.62% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.96% ( | 15.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.47% ( | 43.53% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.88% ( | 43.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.61% ( | 79.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% 2-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 3-1 @ 6.18% 4-0 @ 3.48% 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% 5-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.27% Total : 62.18% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.74% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 1-2 @ 4.35% 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 32 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 77 | 18 | 59 | 83 |
| 2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
| 3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 67 | 29 | 38 | 70 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 50 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 37 | -8 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 31 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
| 17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 23 | 58 | -35 | 20 |
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