

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
| 30.87% ( | 25.58% ( | 43.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.4% ( | 49.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.38% ( | 71.62% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( | 29.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34% ( | 65.99% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( | 22.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.65% ( | 56.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 2-0 @ 4.95% ( 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 3-0 @ 1.99% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.54% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
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