| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 6 | 11 | 18 | 
| 2 | Braga | 6 | 16 | 16 | 
| 3 | Porto | 7 | 11 | 16 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 7 | -3 | 6 | 
| 14 | Vizela | 6 | -2 | 5 | 
| 15 | Santa Clara | 7 | -3 | 5 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vizela | 
| 65.41% (  -0.51) | 20.24% (  0.32) | 14.35% (  0.19) | 
| Both teams to score 48.99% (  -0.58) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.55% (  -1.02) | 45.45% (  1.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.21% (  -0.98) | 67.78% (  0.98) | 
| Braga Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.92% (  -0.46) | 13.08% (  0.46) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.31% (  -0.93) | 39.69% (  0.94) | 
| Vizela Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.36% (  -0.36) | 43.64% (  0.36) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.18% (  -0.3) | 79.82% (  0.3) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Braga | Draw | Vizela | 
| 2-0 @ 11.8% (  0.11) 1-0 @ 11.61% (  0.31) 2-1 @ 9.79% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.01% (  -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.64% (  -0.12) 4-0 @ 4.07% (  -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.38% (  -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.75% (  -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.66% (  -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.4% (  -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.37% (  -0.08) Other @ 2.93% Total : 65.4% | 1-1 @ 9.63% (  0.16) 0-0 @ 5.71% (  0.25) 2-2 @ 4.06% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.73% (  0.16) 1-2 @ 3.99% (  0.02) 0-2 @ 1.96% (  0.05) 2-3 @ 1.12% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.1% (  -0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.35% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 | 
| 2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 | 
| 3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 | 
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 47 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 | 
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 | 
| 7 | Casa Pia | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 35 | 
| 8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 | 
| 9 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 | 
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 | 
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 | 
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 27 | 
| 13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 | 
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 | 
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 | 
| 16 | Maritimo | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 16 | 
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 | 
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 | 
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