| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 6 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Braga | 6 | 16 | 16 |
| 3 | Porto | 7 | 11 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Vizela | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 7 | -3 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 14.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vizela |
| 65.41% ( | 20.24% ( | 14.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( | 45.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( | 67.78% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.92% ( | 13.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.31% ( | 39.69% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.36% ( | 43.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.18% ( | 79.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-0 @ 11.8% ( 1-0 @ 11.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 3-0 @ 8.01% ( 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 4-0 @ 4.07% ( 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 5-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 5-1 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 65.4% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 2-2 @ 4.06% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 20.24% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0-2 @ 1.96% ( 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 1-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 14.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 |
| 2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 |
| 3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 47 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 35 |
| 8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 |
| 9 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 16 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
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