Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.