MX23RW : Sunday, April 20 05:17:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Hoffenheim logo

Freiburg
2 - 1
Hoffenheim

Eggestein (5'), Doan (89')
Hofler (67'), Petersen (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stiller (48')
Kabak (52'), Geiger (73'), Brooks (84'), Akpoguma (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Hoffenheim

 Freiburg have only lost once in their last eight games against Hoffenheim, and the form book suggests they will add to that impressive recent run of form against their upcoming opponents here. With Hoffenheim breaking unwanted club records with regularity of late, they will need a big performance to get anything from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
54.72% (-0.293 -0.29) 22.49% (0.099 0.1) 22.79% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.96% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)42.04% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (-0.229 -0.23)64.44% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (-0.176 -0.18)15.29% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)44% (0.332 0.33)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (0.045000000000002 0.05)32.15% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (0.052 0.05)68.63% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 54.72%
    Hoffenheim 22.79%
    Draw 22.48%
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.72%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.79%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Hoffenheim

Freiburg
83.1%
Draw
3.1%
Hoffenheim
13.8%
65
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 6.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-0
Freiburg

Gunter (56')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-4
Freiburg
Kramaric (32'), Stiller (49'), Rudy (84')
Samassekou (45')
Sallai (23'), Gunter (50'), Holer (70'), Woo-yeong (73')
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
Hoffenheim
1-4
Freiburg
Schlotterbeck (53' og.)
Richards (32'), Geiger (79')
Grifo (10', 35'), Schade (55'), Demirovic (68')
Schade (27')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-2
Hoffenheim
Schlotterbeck (21')
Lienhart (16'), Kubler (87'), Holer (90+3'), Gunter (90+5')
Raum (3'), Richards (90+4')
Posch (38'), Akpoguma (61'), Vogt (80')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
Hoffenheim
Grifo (81' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (50')
Kramaric (40')
Bebou (48'), Samassekou (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern30226287295872
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen29189263342963
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt29156858421651
4RB Leipzig301310748381049
5Freiburg30146104347-448
6Mainz 05Mainz30138948361247
7Werder Bremen30136114854-645
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach29135114643344
9Borussia DortmundDortmund29126115445942
10Augsburg2911993340-742
11Stuttgart30118115650641
12Wolfsburg30109115347639
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3098133044-1435
14Hoffenheim3079143855-1730
15St Pauli2985162535-1029
16Heidenheim3064203260-2822
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum3055202962-3320
18Holstein Kiel3047194171-3019
> Bundesliga Full Table


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