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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Hoffenheim logo
Freiburg
2 - 1
Hoffenheim
Eggestein (5'), Doan (89')
Hofler (67'), Petersen (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stiller (48')
Kabak (52'), Geiger (73'), Brooks (84'), Akpoguma (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Freiburg
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-0 Hoffenheim

 Freiburg have only lost once in their last eight games against Hoffenheim, and the form book suggests they will add to that impressive recent run of form against their upcoming opponents here. With Hoffenheim breaking unwanted club records with regularity of late, they will need a big performance to get anything from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
54.72% (-0.293 -0.29) 22.49% (0.099 0.1) 22.79% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 57.47% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.96% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)42.04% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (-0.229 -0.23)64.44% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (-0.176 -0.18)15.29% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)44% (0.332 0.33)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.85% (0.045000000000002 0.05)32.15% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.37% (0.052 0.05)68.63% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 54.72%
    Hoffenheim 22.79%
    Draw 22.48%
FreiburgDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 54.72%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.58% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 22.79%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Hoffenheim

Freiburg
83.1%
Draw
3.1%
Hoffenheim
13.8%
65
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 6.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-0
Freiburg

Gunter (56')
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Hoffenheim
3-4
Freiburg
Kramaric (32'), Stiller (49'), Rudy (84')
Samassekou (45')
Sallai (23'), Gunter (50'), Holer (70'), Woo-yeong (73')
Jan 19, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
Hoffenheim
1-4
Freiburg
Schlotterbeck (53' og.)
Richards (32'), Geiger (79')
Grifo (10', 35'), Schade (55'), Demirovic (68')
Schade (27')
Dec 11, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-2
Hoffenheim
Schlotterbeck (21')
Lienhart (16'), Kubler (87'), Holer (90+3'), Gunter (90+5')
Raum (3'), Richards (90+4')
Posch (38'), Akpoguma (61'), Vogt (80')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
Hoffenheim
Grifo (81' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (50')
Kramaric (40')
Bebou (48'), Samassekou (59')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
> Bundesliga Full Table
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