Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Mainz1 - 0Hoffenheim
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mainz 4-0 Borussia M'bach
Friday, February 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, February 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-1 Dortmund
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Mainz 05 2-0 Hoffenheim
On current form there is only likely to be one winner at the MEWA Arena on Saturday, and we expect Mainz to live up to their recent performances by securing another victory. Unless they can drastically turn things around, Hoffenheim look like a side destined to suffer their first-ever relegation from the Bundesliga this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.15%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Hoffenheim |
52.15% ( -0.39) | 23.37% ( -0.18) | 24.48% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( 1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
