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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 55.81%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.14%) and 1-3 (6.74%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
23.46% (![]() | 20.72% (![]() | 55.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.78% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.15% (![]() | 32.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.45% (![]() | 54.54% (![]() |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.51% (![]() | 26.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.32% (![]() | 61.68% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.12% (![]() | 11.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.82% (![]() | 37.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 5.91% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 23.46% | 1-1 @ 8.9% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.72% | 1-2 @ 9.49% (![]() 0-2 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.7% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.48% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |