

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 66.12% | 17.88% | 16% |
| Both teams to score 61.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.33% | 30.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.01% | 51.99% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.31% | 8.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.09% | 29.91% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% | 32.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.37% | 68.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 7.71% 1-0 @ 6.82% 3-0 @ 6.79% 4-1 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 4.37% 4-0 @ 4.15% 4-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 2.3% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-2 @ 1.31% 4-3 @ 1.01% 6-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.51% Total : 66.12% | 1-1 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 2.79% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.88% | 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-1 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-2 @ 1.8% 1-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.95% Total : 16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 13 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 13 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 12 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
| 10 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 5 |
| 13 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 15 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 | FC Koln | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
| 18 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 1 |
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