

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.75%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 3-0 (6.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.53%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 77.75% | 12.4% | 9.86% |
| Both teams to score 66.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.87% | 18.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.6% | 35.4% |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.18% | 3.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 83.7% | 16.3% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% | 31.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.61% | 67.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 3-1 @ 8.06% 2-1 @ 7.4% 3-0 @ 6.9% 4-1 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 6.33% 4-0 @ 5.63% 3-2 @ 4.71% 5-1 @ 4.3% 1-0 @ 3.88% 4-2 @ 3.85% 5-0 @ 3.68% 5-2 @ 2.52% 6-1 @ 2.34% 6-0 @ 2% 4-3 @ 1.5% 6-2 @ 1.37% 7-1 @ 1.09% 5-3 @ 0.98% 7-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.67% Total : 77.75% | 1-1 @ 4.53% 2-2 @ 4.33% 3-3 @ 1.84% 0-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.51% Total : 12.4% | 1-2 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-1 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.1% Total : 9.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 46 | 12 | 34 | 42 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 52 | 15 | 37 | 41 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 33 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 27 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 19 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 18 |
| 12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 17 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 16 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 16 |
| 15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
| 16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 10 |
| 17 | FC Koln | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 10 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 10 |
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