Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund - Bundesliga - January 22, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

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Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')

The Match

This clash looks set to be an entertaining one on Saturday, with both sides successful in front of goal in recent weeks, whilst remaining leaky at the other end of the pitch too. Were this tie being played at Signal Iduna Park, we would be predicting a Dortmund win, but with BVB often slipping up on their travels, as well as Hoffenheim being an impressive outfit, we are going for a thrilling draw. Read more.

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 46%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
31.31%	22.68%	46%

Both teams to score 64.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64%

36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.9%

58.1%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09%

22.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.32%

56.68%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.86%

16.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.41%

45.58%

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 31.31%

Borussia Dortmund 46.01%

Draw 22.68%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.32% 1-0 @ 5.45% 2-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.31%	1-1 @ 9.94% 2-2 @ 6.68% 0-0 @ 3.7% 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.68%	1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 5.51% 2-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 3.74% 1-4 @ 2.51% 2-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.71% 1-5 @ 0.92% 3-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.84% Total : 46.01%

Hoffenheim

21.3%

Draw

10.7%

Borussia Dortmund

68.0%

Head to Head

Aug 27, 2021 7.30pm

Gameweek 3

3-2

Reyna (49'), Bellingham (69'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
Dahoud (36'), Meunier (54')

Baumgartner (61'), Dabour (90')
Baumgartner (1'), Posch (7'), Geiger (20')

Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm

Gameweek 21

2-2

Sancho (24'), Braut Haaland (81')
Delaney (21'), Akanji (67')

Dabour (31'), Bebou (51')
Rudy (27'), Grillitsch (57'), Vogt (59'), Posch (60'), Samassekou (65'), Dabour (85'), Gacinovic (90+2')

Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm

Gameweek 4

0-1

Posch (58')

Reus (76')
Reyna (90')

Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm

Gameweek 34

0-4