Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
