Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim | 
| 25.24% | 24.54% | 50.22% | 
| Both teams to score 53.51% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.39% | 48.61% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.27% | 70.73% | 
| Augsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.37% | 33.63% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.72% | 70.28% | 
| Hoffenheim Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.62% | 19.37% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.83% | 51.17% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Augsburg | Draw | Hoffenheim | 
| 1-0 @ 7.1% 2-1 @ 6.35% 2-0 @ 3.87% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.32% Total : 25.24% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 9.56% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 5.23% 0-3 @ 4.8% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.97% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.22% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 43 | 
| 2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 42 | 
| 3 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 | 
| 4 | Freiburg | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 | 
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 36 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 | 
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 30 | 
| 8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 | 
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 27 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 26 | 
| 11 | FC Koln | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 26 | 
| 12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 | 
| 13 | Augsburg | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 | 
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 19 | 
| 15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 19 | 
| 16 | Hertha Berlin | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 17 | 
| 17 | Stuttgart | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 16 | 
| 18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 12 | 
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