Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.