Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 73.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.15%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.