Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
