Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 12.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-3 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 12.26% | 16.47% | 71.27% |
| Both teams to score 56.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.39% | 32.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.72% | 54.27% |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.55% | 38.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.8% | 75.2% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.92% | 8.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.6% | 28.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 3.57% 1-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 1.43% 2-0 @ 1.42% 3-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.73% Total : 12.26% | 1-1 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.49% 0-0 @ 3.11% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.2% Total : 16.47% | 0-2 @ 9.83% 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-3 @ 8.25% 1-3 @ 7.88% 0-1 @ 7.81% 0-4 @ 5.19% 1-4 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 3.77% 0-5 @ 2.61% 1-5 @ 2.5% 2-4 @ 2.37% 2-5 @ 1.19% 0-6 @ 1.1% 1-6 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.37% Total : 71.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 14 | 36 | 35 |
| 2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 30 |
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 30 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 29 |
| 6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 26 |
| 8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 20 |
| 12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 16 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 15 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 | Hertha Berlin | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 9 |
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