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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
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FC Koln
3 - 2
Augsburg
Tigges (47', 81'), Huseinbasic (61')
Duda (62'), Uth (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Niederlechner (14'), Caligiuri (68')
Berisha (22'), Vargas (36'), Iago (54'), Petkov (79')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Partizan 2-0 FC Koln
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, October 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Augsburg

 Attack may be the best form of defence for the visitors given the amount of injuries and suspensions they have at centre-back, but Koln are likely to look the more balanced unit as a result thia weekend. As such, we expect them to return to winning ways after a difficult week, with Augsburg arguably due to suffer a defeat at some point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawAugsburg
63% (0.784 0.78) 20.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 16.26% (-0.789 -0.79)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-1.724 -1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (-1.436 -1.44)43.87% (1.433 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-1.418 -1.42)66.26% (1.415 1.42)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.7% (-0.22 -0.22)13.3% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.87% (-0.443 -0.44)40.13% (0.439 0.44)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.91% (-1.834 -1.83)40.09% (1.83 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.27% (-1.718 -1.72)76.73% (1.714 1.71)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 63%
    Augsburg 16.26%
    Draw 20.74%
FC KolnDrawAugsburg
2-0 @ 10.85% (0.5 0.5)
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.58 0.58)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.3% (0.277 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.36% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.033 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 63%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.326 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.74%
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.49% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 16.26%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Augsburg

FC Koln
55.2%
Draw
20.7%
Augsburg
24.1%
29
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Augsburg
1-4
FC Koln
Niederlechner (73')
Gruezo (42'), Oxford (69')
Thielmann (12'), Uth (15'), Modeste (63' pen., 77')
Thielmann (53'), Kainz (60'), Hubers (75'), Kilian (80')
Dec 10, 2021 7.30pm
FC Koln
0-2
Augsburg

Kilian (57'), Baumgart (79'), Ozcan (87')
Hahn (72'), Dorsch (88')
Gregoritsch (25'), Dorsch (41'), Gouweleeuw (57'), Cordova (86')
Apr 23, 2021 7.30pm
Augsburg
2-3
FC Koln
Gumny (54'), Vargas (62')
Gumny (45+2'), Gruezo (52')
Duda (8', 33'), Kainz (23')
Wolf (45'), Rexhbecaj (80'), Duda (90')
Jan 2, 2021 2.30pm
FC Koln
0-1
Augsburg

Modeste (64'), Bornauw (74')
Iago (77')
Uduokhai (12'), Gouweleeuw (64'), Richter (85')
Jun 7, 2020 5pm
Augsburg
1-1
FC Koln
Max (88')
Framberger (51')
Modeste (85')
Schmitz (15'), Uth (25'), Hector (90')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34218592385471
2Borussia DortmundDortmund34225783443971
3RB Leipzig34206864412366
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin34188851381362
5Freiburg3417895144759
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34148125749850
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt341311105852650
8Wolfsburg341310115748949
9Mainz 05Mainz341210125455-146
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach341110135255-343
11FC Koln341012124954-542
12Hoffenheim34106184857-936
13Werder Bremen34106185164-1336
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum34105194072-3235
15Augsburg3497184263-2134
16Stuttgart34712154557-1233
RSchalke 04Schalke34710173571-3631
RHertha Berlin3478194269-2729
> Bundesliga Full Table
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