

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | FC Koln |
| 40.08% ( | 23.49% ( | 36.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.59% ( | 38.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.3% ( | 60.7% ( |
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( | 19.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.55% ( | 51.45% ( |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( | 21.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.78% ( | 54.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 40.08% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-3 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 92 | 38 | 54 | 71 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 83 | 44 | 39 | 71 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 64 | 41 | 23 | 66 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 62 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 59 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 49 |
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 57 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 51 | 64 | -13 | 36 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 35 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 33 |
| R | Schalke 04Schalke | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 31 |
| R | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 42 | 69 | -27 | 29 |
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