With the visitors missing so many key players through injury, we can envisage the hosts taking full advantage to claim only their second league win of the season.
Augsburg are likely to be ruing dropping points against Leipzig from such a strong position last time out, and we can see them struggling both mentally and physically until they get more players off the treatment table and back on the pitch.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.
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