Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 67.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 14.41% | 18.45% | 67.13% |
| Both teams to score 55.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.94% | 37.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.75% | 59.25% |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.73% | 38.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.97% | 75.03% |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.82% | 10.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.56% | 33.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 4.11% 1-0 @ 3.74% 2-0 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.5% 3-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.95% Total : 14.41% | 1-1 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 4.69% 0-0 @ 3.9% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.45% | 0-2 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 9.77% 0-1 @ 8.9% 0-3 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 7.44% 0-4 @ 4.42% 1-4 @ 4.25% 2-3 @ 3.57% 2-4 @ 2.04% 0-5 @ 2.02% 1-5 @ 1.94% 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.93% Total : 67.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 59 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 52 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | Wolfsburg | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 40 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 32 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 61 | -30 | 27 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 24 |
| 18 | Hertha Berlin | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 22 |
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