Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Stuttgart in this match.
