Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
