Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-0 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 13.27% | 18.48% | 68.25% |
| Both teams to score 52.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.09% | 39.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.73% | 62.27% |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.26% | 41.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.79% | 78.21% |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.31% | 10.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.41% | 34.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 1-0 @ 3.9% 2-1 @ 3.81% 2-0 @ 1.7% 3-2 @ 1.24% 3-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.51% Total : 13.27% | 1-1 @ 8.72% 0-0 @ 4.46% 2-2 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.48% | 0-2 @ 11.15% 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.75% 0-3 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 7.26% 0-4 @ 4.65% 1-4 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 3.17% 0-5 @ 2.08% 1-5 @ 1.82% 2-4 @ 1.77% Other @ 4.25% Total : 68.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 43 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 43 |
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 40 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 39 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Stuttgart | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 19 |
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 |
| 17 | Hertha Berlin | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 17 |
| 18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 13 |
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