Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 66.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.