Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.