Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 8, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
4 - 0
Augsburg

Silva (40'), Nkunku (48', 57'), Forsberg (64' pen.)
Forsberg (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gouweleeuw (72'), Gunther (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57

Augsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: BW Lohne vs. Augsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	VfL Bochum	34	-14	42
14	Augsburg	34	-17	38
15	Stuttgart	34	-18	33

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 9.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.51%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Augsburg
74.11% ( 0.32)	16.59% ( -0.18)	9.29% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 44.69% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.72% (

0.43)

42.28% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.31% (

0.43)

64.69% (

-0.43)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.14% (

0.19)

9.85% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.31% (

0.44)

32.69% (

-0.44)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.57% (

-0)

50.43% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.05%

84.95% (

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 74.1%

Augsburg 9.29%

Draw 16.59%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Augsburg
2-0 @ 13.34% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 74.1%	1-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 16.59%	0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 9.29%