| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Hoffenheim | 34 | -2 | 46 |
| 10 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | -7 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 48.68%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
| 48.68% | 23.45% | 27.87% |
| Both teams to score 59.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.25% | 41.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.85% | 64.15% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% | 17.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.28% | 47.72% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% | 27.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.37% | 63.63% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 7.45% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 4.35% 3-2 @ 3.53% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.94% Total : 48.68% | 1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.04% 0-0 @ 4.85% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 6.89% 0-1 @ 6.18% 0-2 @ 3.93% 1-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.67% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 52 |
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 50 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 |
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 36 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 35 |
| 9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 27 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 22 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 21 |
| 16 | Stuttgart | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 20 |
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 20 |
| 18 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 19 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
