

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 34 | 12 | 55 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 34 | 3 | 52 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 60 | 77 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 14.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-3 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 14.52% | 17.07% | 68.41% |
| Both teams to score 61.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.16% | 29.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49% | 51% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% | 33.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.98% | 70.01% |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.02% | 7.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.84% | 28.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Freiburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 4.05% 1-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 1.87% 2-0 @ 1.6% 3-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.58% Total : 14.52% | 1-1 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 5.13% 0-0 @ 2.66% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.31% Total : 17.07% | 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-2 @ 8.52% 1-3 @ 7.88% 0-3 @ 7.18% 0-1 @ 6.74% 1-4 @ 4.98% 0-4 @ 4.54% 2-3 @ 4.32% 2-4 @ 2.73% 1-5 @ 2.52% 0-5 @ 2.3% 2-5 @ 1.38% 1-6 @ 1.06% 3-4 @ 1% 0-6 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.98% Total : 68.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 19 |
| 2 | Stuttgart | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 18 |
| 3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 17 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 14 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Heidenheim | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -14 | 4 |
| 17 | Mainz 05Mainz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 | FC Koln | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 1 |
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