Bayern Munich 2-1 Freiburg - Bundesliga - November 6, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

2 - 1

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Goretzka (30'), Lewandowski (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Haberer (90+3')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 3-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Freiburg
73.11%	16.03%	10.85%

Both teams to score 53.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.46%

34.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.52%

56.49%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.84%

8.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.4%

28.61%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.88%

42.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.46%

78.54%

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 73.11%

Freiburg 10.85%

Draw 16.03%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Freiburg
2-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 7.8% 4-0 @ 5.65% 4-1 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 3.37% 5-0 @ 2.83% 5-1 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 2.11% 6-0 @ 1.18% 5-2 @ 1.06% 6-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.99% Total : 73.11%	1-1 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 4.04% 0-0 @ 3.44% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.03%	1-2 @ 3.22% 0-1 @ 2.97% 0-2 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.16% 1-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.29% Total : 10.85%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich

88.4%

Draw

8.5%

Freiburg

3.1%

Head to Head

May 15, 2021 2.30pm

Gameweek 33

2-2

Gulde (29'), Gunter (81')
Sallai (17')

Lewandowski (26' pen.), Sane (53')
Davies (87'), Alaba (90')

Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm

Gameweek 16

2-1

Lewandowski (7'), Muller (74')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (90')

Petersen (62')
Hofler (9'), Sallai (46')

Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm

Gameweek 33

3-1

Dec 18, 2019 7.30pm

Gameweek 16

1-3

Mar 30, 2019 2.30pm

Gameweek 27

1-1