Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg | 
| 41.17% | 26.64% | 32.19% | 
| Both teams to score 51.35% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.49% | 53.51% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.98% | 75.02% | 
| Wolfsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.39% | 25.61% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.5% | 60.5% | 
| Freiburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.03% | 30.97% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.73% | 67.27% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg | 
| 1-0 @ 10.8% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 7.36% 3-1 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 7.93% 2-2 @ 5.06% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.19% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 68 | 
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 42 | 36 | 67 | 
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 60 | 
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 59 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 59 | 
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 44 | 11 | 49 | 
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 49 | 
| 8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 46 | 
| 9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 45 | 
| 10 | FC Koln | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 41 | 
| 11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 39 | 
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 35 | 
| 13 | Augsburg | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 34 | 
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 32 | 
| 15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 31 | 
| 16 | Schalke 04Schalke | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 30 | 
| 17 | Stuttgart | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 29 | 
| 18 | Hertha Berlin | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 25 | 
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