Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach | 
| 38.34% | 25.25% | 36.41% | 
| Both teams to score 56.83% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.16% | 46.84% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.9% | 69.1% | 
| Wolfsburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.91% | 24.09% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.62% | 58.38% | 
| Borussia Monchengladbach Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.86% | 25.14% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.15% | 59.85% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach | 
| 1-0 @ 8.62% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.34% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.93% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.78% Total : 36.41% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 77 | 29 | 48 | 58 | 
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 27 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 56 | 
| 3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 51 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 48 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 47 | 
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 43 | 
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 41 | 
| 8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 | 
| 9 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 39 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 35 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 32 | 
| 12 | FC Koln | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 31 | 
| 13 | Augsburg | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 29 | 
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 28 | 
| 15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 27 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 26 | 
| 16 | Stuttgart | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 | 
| 17 | Hertha Berlin | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 22 | 
| 18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 50 | -29 | 21 | 
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