Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 23.09% | 23.44% | 53.48% |
| Both teams to score 54.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.08% | 45.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.77% | 68.23% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.97% | 34.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.29% | 70.72% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.89% | 17.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.68% | 47.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 1-0 @ 6.28% 2-1 @ 5.97% 2-0 @ 3.38% 3-1 @ 2.15% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.2% Total : 23.09% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 5.83% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-2 @ 9.08% 1-3 @ 5.76% 0-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 2.54% 0-4 @ 2.36% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.88% Total : 53.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 61 | 21 | 40 | 43 |
| 2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 42 |
| 3 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 40 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 39 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 29 |
| 9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | FC Koln | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Stuttgart | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 19 |
| 16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 19 |
| 17 | Hertha Berlin | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 12 |
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