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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 74.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 8.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (10.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a MK Dons win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | MK Dons |
74.3% (![]() | 16.8% (![]() | 8.9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.46% (![]() | 44.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.09% (![]() | 66.9% (![]() |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.6% (![]() | 10.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.07% (![]() | 33.93% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.21% (![]() | 52.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.49% (![]() | 86.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | MK Dons |
2-0 @ 14.06% (![]() 1-0 @ 12.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 10.6% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 74.29% | 1-1 @ 7.94% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.51% Total : 16.8% | 0-1 @ 3.51% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 1.73% Total : 8.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 80 |
2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 37 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 64 | 28 | 36 | 78 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 37 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Barnsley | 36 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 72 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 64 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 63 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 61 |
9 | Portsmouth | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 58 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 55 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 49 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 49 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 37 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 45 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
16 | Port Vale | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 45 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 43 |
18 | Burton Albion | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 41 |
19 | MK Dons | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 39 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 37 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 35 |
22 | Morecambe | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 34 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 71 | -42 | 26 |
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