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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
53.86% ( 0.09) | 24.78% ( 0.05) | 21.36% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 48.34% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.77% ( -0.34) | 53.23% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.21% ( -0.29) | 74.79% ( 0.3) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.28% ( -0.09) | 19.72% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.26% ( -0.16) | 51.74% ( 0.16) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.21% ( -0.34) | 39.79% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.54% ( -0.32) | 76.46% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 53.85% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Port Vale | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
15 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
20 | Morecambe | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 31 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
22 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 29 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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